Friday, December 2, 2011

Market Outlook Dec 2011

Market Outlook Dec 2011


The month of November witnessed sharp correction in equity markets, which completely eroded
gains made in the month of October. India’s GDP growth rate declined to 6.92% for second
quarter showing slowdown in economy. The falling rupee proved major dampener for Indian
equity markets on concerns of increased fiscal deficit. India Inc is facing problems in imports as
well as paying its foreign debt because of rupee depreciation. European countries are pushing
hard to resolve the crisis but it may take time for Europe to come out of it completely. Gold rose
6% in the month while dollar rose 6.73%. Crude oil price increased from $93.49/barrel to
$99.13/barrel. FII sold Indian equities heavily while DII bought some equity.We believe that situation on domestic front will improve gradually but mood remains pessimistic on bourses and there are very few buyers for Indian equities. Time like these provide opportunity to accumulate good stocks as well as quality mutual fund for long term. We hold our advice to
investors to keep buying equity mutual funds through SIP/ STP route to generate wealth over the long term.


On debt side we continue recommending FMPs as Bank CDs and other CPs are available at very attractive rates and locking these papers in FMPs will yield good returns.


We maintain our view to hold 10% allocation to gold in the overall portfolio.

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Online Term Insurance vs Offline Term Insurance

Online Term Insurance vs Offline Term Insurance
With online term plans coming in market, two things has happened. First, Customers have really got excited seeing very low premiums which insure them at throw away prices, however low premiums does not appear on the top wish list of customers and what everyone needs is very high claim settlement ratio and excellent customer service. This is where online term plans have disappointed customers, there has been huge disappointment from ICICI iProtect and Aegon Religare iTerm Plan in terms of customer service. There have been cases where customers bought the online term plan and after that, they had horrifying experiences starting from increase of premium once they bought it, No-response from the company for long duration and Long & frustrating delays in medical tests. This is what pisses off customers most and they get a feel that If situation is bad at the time of buying the policy, then what will be the response when their families for claim settlement .
Another important point which comes to a persons mind is Are private Insurance companies safe ? and what is the claim settlement ratio of the company. From last year IRDA report, we came to know that Aegon Religare did not settle even a single claim out of total 7-8 claims they got . However, this years IRDA report (2009-2010) shows that its better at 48% settlement ratio for Aegon Religare, but Life Insurance is not a maths exam where 90-91% marks will make people happy. We all need 100% or 99% at least !. Because most of the companies are very new, the trust factor is missing from public. Note that not everyone who bought online term plans had bad experience, there are many buyers who got very good response and good customer service, but it was a smaller section .
So if you a kind of buyer who understand Insurance very well and how things work in this area and you also have trust in online term plans then you can go for online plans. But if you are not comfortable with it, then you should try the old way of buying insurance through an agent. However it would cost more than online term insurance, which many are comfortable with! .

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Market Outlook Nov 2011


The month of October is historically known in capital markets as the month of events and
volatility. In the month there were two major happenings, one on domestic front and the other
one on global front. On Domestic side, though RBI raised the key rates by 25 bps but indicated
that pause in interest rates is likely in Dec meet. This provided much relief to India Inc which is
struggling with higher cost of debt. On Global front, European leaders met to resolve crisis in
Europe and finally fix a deal to end the Greece crisis. It sparked a rally in European and other
global markets but rally was put to halt when Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou shocked the euro zone with his announcement that he will hold a referendum on the Greece bailout deal.Gold rose 5% in the month while dollar rise took a pause. Crude oil price increased from $81.86/barrel to $93.49/barrel.

FII bought Indian equities while DII remained net sellers.We believe that market has formed a bottom around 4750 (Nifty) levels and things will start getting better hereon. We have seen India Inc posting Q2 results as per expectation and some of the corporate posted very good numbers. Though concerns remain on European front after Greek Prime Minister’s announcement but things are likely to improve on domestic side. We hold our advice to investors to keep buying equity mutual funds through SIP/ STP route to generate wealth over the long term. On debt side we continue recommending FMPs as Bank CDs and other CPs are available at very attractive rates and locking these papers in FMPs will yield good returns.


We maintain our view to hold 10% allocation to gold in the overall portfolio.

Monday, October 24, 2011

HAPPY DIWALI

WISHING ALL OUR CLIENTS & ASSOCIATES


A VERY HAPPY & PROSPEROUS


DIWALI



TEAM V CLIENT WEALTH

Market Outlook - Oct , 2011

Market Outlook
The month of September saw sideways movement in the equity market after steep fall in previous month but huge correction was seen in metals and other commodities. Gold fell by 6% in the month while dollar strengthened. Crude oil corrected from 86.85$/barrel to $81.86/barrel as worries remain about global economic slowdown. FII and DII remained net sellers in Indian
equities for the month.
We remain cautious on equity markets for the next couple of months as inflation is not coming
down and global concerns remain there but market volatility is likely to subside in couple of
months and market will form a bottom. Equity market has already discounted US slowdown but
problem in Europe is not fully discounted as extent of the problem is not known. We find
valuation of Indian equities attractive and believe that long term investment will yield very good
returns. Investors should avoid lump sum investment in equity market at this point of time and
invest in staggered manner. We hold our advice to investors to keep buying equity mutual funds
through SIP/ STP route to generate wealth over the long term.
On debt side we continue recommending FMPs as Bank CDs and other CPs are available at very
attractive rates and locking these papers in FMPs will yield good returns.
We maintain our view to hold 10% allocation to gold in the overall portfolio. Gold saw sharp fall in the last month but believe it is a good time to accumulate gold as there is still more upside left in gold prices.

Monday, September 12, 2011


Market Outlook - Sep 2011


The month of August will be remembered for a historic event which took place in USA. S&P downgraded USA from AAA rating to AA+ resulting in huge fall in global equity markets as well as Indian markets. Nifty lost almost 500 points after this event. Crude oil corrected by from 95$/barrel to $86/barrel as worries emerge about global economic slowdown. FII remained net sellers in Indian equities for the month of August but DII bought into Indian equities. We continue to remain cautious on equity markets for the next 2 months because of high inflation, rising interest rates and global concerns. We believe that Indian market will digest bad news from global international markets in couple of months and start taking cues from domestic events. Indian equities are underinvested at present and any positive news on domestic front will be a boost to market. Equity market is likely to see strong upward momentum in 2nd half of FY 12. Investors should avoid lump sum investment in equity market at this point of time and invest in staggered manner. We hold our advice to investors to keep buying equity mutual funds through SIP/ STP route to generate wealth over the long term. On debt side we continue recommending FMPs as Bank CDs and other CPs are available at very attractive rates and locking these papers in FMPs will yield good returns. We advise investors to invest in FMPs maturing in April 2013 to avail indexation benefit because one year FMP will not be available for indexation if Direct Tax Code is implemented in its current form. We maintain our view to hold 10% allocation to gold in the overall portfolio. Gold has seen a strong up move in last month followed by a mild correction and we continue to remain bullish on gold in near term.

Thursday, June 30, 2011

Associate Meet...25 June 2011

We had organised Associate Meet on 25 June 2011.It was to educate about the mutual funds & other investments options for the investors.Mr Gyan Gupta ( Head , Associate Network ) gave the welcome speech & started the discussion.Followed by the Expert from the Mutual Fund industry about the advantge of Mutual Fund over other asset classes.Mr Himanshu Saini ( Head , Real Estate Advisory ) gives his views on the Real Estate investments.
Finally thanks note was given Mr Pramod Sharma ( Director ) who shared his views on the advantages for associates for the association with us .

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Are Savings bank accounts the best option for parking your money

Are Savings bank accounts the best option for parking your money?


 


 


 

  • Open a zero balance Liquid account with a Mutual Fund.
  • One time KYC (Know Your Customer) formalities. Much simpler than bank account opening formalities. A simple form is to be filled up, requiring just two minutes.
  • A unique account number is allotted. This number is to be used for all the deposits/withdrawal.

Depositing the Money

  • Money can be deposited by cheque or internet banking. No Cash transactions permitted.
  • Cheque has to be in favour of the Liquid scheme name and has to be issued from the account holder's bank account only.
  • If single deposit is more than Rs.1 cr, then money has to be received by the MF before 3 pm in their account.
  • No need to specify any time period for the money kept in the account.
  • Any time, any amount can be deposited and any amount can be withdrawn too.

Withdrawal of money

  • Withdrawals are paid on next business day directly in the account holder's bank account, which is registered with the mutual fund. No third party payment possible. No cash withdrawal possible.
  • For individuals, withdrawal request can be given over phone. No need to sign any documents. (Please note, Bank account details and address details cannot be changed over phone)
  • Withdrawal requests given on Friday are paid on Monday morning or next business day, which so ever is applicable. No payouts on Saturday, Sunday & Holidays.

Returns

  • Returns are approximately 8% currently, compared to 4% in savings account.
  • The returns are calculated on daily closing balance and added back on a daily basis in your account.
  • Returns can get added on taxable basis or tax free basis, depending upon your choice.
  • Tax-free returns are 13.52% less than taxable returns for individuals and HUFs.

Risks

  • Money gets invested in top rated short term bank securities/ call money markets etc. Full investment disclosures available.
  • Returns get credited daily in your account.

Others

  • Get account statement free any time over mail/physical copy after every transaction. You can ask your account statement as many times as you wish. It is free.
  • Transaction timings – All business days till 3.00 pm.

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Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Key Speaker in International Conference......



Mr Nikesh Choudhary , Head Research & Equity , V Client Wealth was the key speaker in 6th International Conference on Post Recessionary Economy Movers & Moulders of the changing World on March 17 , 2011 at India International Center , New Delhi .



He expressed his views on the issue & correlated with the leveraging in the Financial Markets globally.

Saturday, March 19, 2011

Happy Holi..

DEAR CLIENTS ,

WISHING YOU A HAPPY & COLOURFUL HOLI.

WITH WARM REGARDS ,

TEAM V CLIENT

Saturday, March 5, 2011


 


 


 

                                        February 28, 2011


 


 

BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS


 

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee today announced the budget 2011-2012.

  • FM raised a concern on food inflation and said that strong fiscal consolidation and enlarged resource base of private enterprise is necessary to bring inflation to a moderate rate.
  • Implementation gaps, leakages from public programmes and the quality of outcomes pose a serious challenge. There is an urgent need to reform systems to track black money.
  • Gross Domestic Product estimated to have grown at 8.6% in 2010-11 in real terms.
  • Exports have grown by 29.4 per cent, while imports have recorded a growth of 17.6 per cent during April to January 2010-11 over the corresponding period last year.
  • Monetary policy measures taken expected to further moderate inflation in coming months.

    Average inflation expected lower next year and current account deficit smaller.

  • Proposal to introduce the Public Debt Management Agency of India Bill in the next financial year.
  • Fiscal Deficit brought down from 5.5 %( budget estimate) to 5.1 %( real) of GDP in 2010-11.
  • Fiscal Deficit target kept at 4.6 %of GDP for FY 2011-12
  • Direct Taxes Code (DTC) to be finalized for enactment during 2011-12. DTC proposed to be effective from April 1, 2012. Areas of divergence with States on proposed Goods and Services Tax (GST) have been narrowed.
  • Rs.40,000 crore to be raised through disinvestment in 2011-12.
  • Discussions underway to further liberalize the FDI policy.
  • SEBI registered mutual funds permitted to accept subscription from foreign investors who meet KYC requirements for equity schemes.
  • To enhance flow of funds to infrastructure sector, the FII limit for investment in corporate bonds issued in infrastructure sector being raised.
  • To create Rs 100cr equity fund for microfinance companies.
  • FII's permitted to invest in unlisted bonds.
  • FII limit in corporate bonds in infra is being raised by additional USD 20bn.
  • More banking licenses to be provided to private players.
  • Exemption limit for the general category of individual taxpayers enhanced from 1,60,000 to

    1,80,000 giving uniform tax relief of 2,000.

  • Qualifying age for senior citizens reduced to 60 vs 65.
  • Higher exemption limit for Very Senior Citizens, who are 80 years or above.
  • Current surcharge of 7.5 per cent on domestic companies proposed to be reduced to 5 per cent.
  • MAT rate increased from 18% to 18.5%.
  • Additional deduction of 20,000 for investment in long-term infrastructure bonds proposed to be extended for one more year.
  • Lower rate of 15 per cent tax on dividends received by an Indian company from its foreign subsidiary.
  • Weighted deduction on payments made to National Laboratories, Universities and Institutes of Technology to be enhanced to 200 per cent.
  • Ship-owners allowed duty-free spare parts import.
  • Export duty on iron ore pellets withdrawn.
  • To replace excise with ad valorem duties for cement.
  • 20% ad valorem export duty on iron ore.
  • Cut customs duty on yarn to 5% from 7.5%.
  • Stainless steel scrap exempt from basic customs duty.
  • 10% excise duty on branded garments.
  • Basic customs duty on Pet Coke and Gypsum to be reduced to 2.5%
  • Basic food, fuel exempted from central excise duty.
  • 1% excise duty on 130 new items.
  • Reduce customs duty on micro irrigation equipment.
  • Service Tax to add another Rs 4,000 cr revenue gains.
  • Service tax retained at 10%.
  • To tax life insurance service providers.
  • Servcie tax on hotel accomodation above Rs 1,500 per day.
  • Domestic travel to pay Rs 50 service tax, Rs 250 on international travel.
  • AC hospitals with more than 25 beds under service tax.
  • Rs 21,000cr to be allocated to Sarva shikshan Abhiyan
  • Allocation of Rs 52057cr for education sector, increase of 24%.
  • To index NREGA wage rates to inflation.
  • Have allocated Rs 58000cr for social schemes (Bharat Nirman)
  • Food security bill to be introduced this year.
  • Increased priority home loan limit to Rs 25 lakh vs Rs 20 lakh
  • On-going metro projects will be provided financial assistance for speedy execution
  • Modified infra debt funds to be created to attract foreign funds for infra development.
  • Rs 2.14cr to be allocated towards infra development. Infra financial commission to provide assistance to infra projects.
  • Propose to allow tax free infra bonds worth Rs 30000 cr for PSBs.
  • Propose tax free bonds of Rs. 30,000 for enhancement of infra sector.
  • Parallel Excise Duty exemption for domestic suppliers producing capital goods needed for expansion of existing mega or ultra mega power projects.
  • Removal of production and distribution bottlenecks for items like fruits and vegetables, milk, meat, poultry and fish to be the focus of attention this year.
  • To allocate Rs 300 cr for fodder development.
  • Credit flow for farmers raised from 3,75,000 crore to 4,75,000 crore in 2011-12
  • Provision of Rs 300cr being made to promote production of bajra, jowar, ragi.
  • Rs 300 cr to be allocated for oil palm production.
  • Propose to give Rs 3000cr to NABARD.
  • To raise corpus of rural infra development fund to Rs 18000cr vs Rs 16000cr.
  • To move to direct cash subsidy for kerosene.
  • Mulling nutrient-based subsidy policy for urea.
  • Extension of NBS to cover urea under review.
  • Various Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEA) and Double Taxation
  • Avoidance Agreements (DTAA) concluded. Foreign Tax Division of CBDT has been strengthened to effectively handle increase in tax information exchange and transfer pricing issues
  • Average inflation and current account deficit to be lower and better managed next year
  • Budget 2011-12 to serve as a transition towards a more transparent and result oriented economic management system in India.


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

Disclaimer: V Client Wealth Advisory Services Pvt. Ltd. has taken due care and caution in compilation and presenting factually correct data/information contained herein above. While, V Client has made every effort to ensure that the information/data being provided is accurate, V Client does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy of any data/information in this report and the same is meant for the use of the recipient and not for circulation